South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d0947b39a7c51e012e8dc251639abcf8d0ea328d55db3538220ab11076c9e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 2,641$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.8 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,112$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.42 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…0f2dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,013$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +108%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 33c | 404.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 34c | 403.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 314.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 79c | 287.8$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 59c | 174.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 60c | 170.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46c…1618backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 29c | 152.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 19c | 107.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 104.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 61c | 101.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 98.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 97.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 95.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 72c | 93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 21c | 63.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 59c | 57.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 27c | 48.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…0c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 46.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 42.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 42.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 42.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 34.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Yes | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 53c | 30.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 64c | 30.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 39c | 28.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 70c | 23.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 73c | 18.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-07?No won
- Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.