South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x996963839ac2322ef546ceb132396f50db9efef90d007a601407449c62d6ac1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 12,074$7,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,633.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 37c | 11,652$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,393.38 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 4,869$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,150$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.49 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 2,953$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 56c | 1,787$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.75 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 50c | 1,774$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.39 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 18c | 944.87$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 735.45$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.77 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 64c | 735$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 47c | 628.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.73 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 610.5$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 17c | 570.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 44c | 549.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 59c | 321.53$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 20c | 300.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 32c | 264.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 56c | 254.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 251.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed No | 60c | 223.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 38c | 174.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 16c | 171.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +125%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Yes | 51c | 157.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 24c | 148.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 38c | 136.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 18c | 135.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…dfb8backed Yes | 41c | 116.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 56c | 112.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 13c | 106.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes | 66c | 106.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 101.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…0c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 100.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 92.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 49c | 90.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 15c | 90.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 61c | 83.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 18c | 83.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 35c | 73.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…ba40backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 72.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 70.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 62c | 68.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 21c | 66.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 21c | 64.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed Yes | 24c | 63.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 63c | 63.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 77c | 60.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 44c | 59.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 54c | 57.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked No | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 44c | 52.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…34d3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 40c | 48.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yes | 63c | 47.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked No | 60c | 41.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Yes | 63c | 34.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Yes | 47c | 33.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 30.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 56c | 26.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-07?this page
- Will CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.