TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x300c…333f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
232
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT14652.7%77 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.62
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+551.5%+$135.44
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+391.5%+$211.38
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.91
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.67
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.07
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$14.99
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.33
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.23
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.92
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.72
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$104.76
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.4
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$26.4
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.18
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$37
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$267.88
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$124.19
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$126.09
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.15
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.94
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.88
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$149.9
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$320.3
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.72
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,803.49
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.6
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.55
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$117.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+126.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaziantep FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirezbacked Zurdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.