TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No77c8,106$6,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.082,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes38c4,107$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.3430841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes24c3,986$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.376827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes16c2,780$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.63315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes44c2,706$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.616647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c2,590$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.725,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No46c2,361$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.091,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes54c2,134$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.8828651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes40c1,803$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.1219144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c1,665$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.748,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c1,517$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.611,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c1,460$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.933,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c1,453$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.272,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No57c1,230$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.8311059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c1,067$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.841,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No77c901.35$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.641,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No30c647.64$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.815945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa890…1a32backed Yes40c599.02$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e56…eca5backed Yes42c509.67$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No78c499.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11035246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes43c495.18$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9314945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes39c484.99$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.063735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Yes34c463.46$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.651030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No56c444.7$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6710846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes58c427.96$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes73c402.56$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.26668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes44c367.2$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0818543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Yes40c361.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes40c356.54$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.612846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes54c353.58$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.875143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes73c349.28$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.834450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No56c329.75$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.092673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes69c314.46$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0815158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c313.51$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.643,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes72c307.64$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8347758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes27c307.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4625625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes15c306.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2514824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes40c292.84$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.575145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No67c285.51$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.321,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c282.66$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.371,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes38c259.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.521618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c256.92$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.371,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No57c256.37$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.241450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes15c248.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9711717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c241.23$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.731,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes43c237.41$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0918352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes72c237.09$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5810031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6412331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0425…3c26backed Yes73c206.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yes40c190.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes62c181.41$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.893650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes20c177.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No49c176.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No57c172.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.149454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes73c168.46$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.98966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes44c155.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.534746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes16c151.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7418145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c149.45$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.761,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes36c135.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.118137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed No45c135.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+48.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Yes73c134.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.381560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes73c134.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.381931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed No28c130$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes56c126.17$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.816838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Yes73c125.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.93366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes72c123.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes39c111.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3276951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b8…98d8backed Yes13c109.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes14c102.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3648922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes15c102.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9649535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x695b…36c8backed Yes71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2b…0dd7backed Yes71c96.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Yes73c84.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes37c82.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.511729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x355c…81c5backed Yes30c79.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.011643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes69c75.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.43831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No29c75.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9130231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…7720backed Yes42c73.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.881233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f3…5c66backed No30c72.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No36c71.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8944843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes59c68.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4144959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Yes73c67.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.191560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.971850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No57c66.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5921345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No33c63.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.667061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9be…8754backed Yes40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No44c58.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8210249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes70c58.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7610767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed Yes44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0271…5673backed No37c52.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.191090%9 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c34…7a99backed No57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked No60c50.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.238645.3%39 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…cb2bbacked Yes44c48.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Yes64c46.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes43c46.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes43c46.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.