South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae482efe2e6088c488657a8e73dd37d21152cce960a25b42d7d75cae0c31fd6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 769.16$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.27 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 37c | 665.38$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 74c | 600.07$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 24c | 582.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 32c | 499.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 80c | 496.13$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.11 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 488.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 431.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 398.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.93 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 65c | 355.04$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 38c | 296.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 58c | 238.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 58c | 225.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 218.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 24c | 199.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 32c | 197.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 42c | 175.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 173.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 69c | 170.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 33c | 165.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 31c | 165.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 69c | 164.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 141.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…9bd6backed Yes | 24c | 140.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +310.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 23c | 124.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 14c | 111.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 110.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 84.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Yes | 35c | 78.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 74.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 65c | 74.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 70c | 70.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c62…3d61backed No | 15c | 67.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 61.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 20c | 60.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yes | 59c | 59.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 79c | 53.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 52.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 38c | 51.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 45.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…0209backed Yes | 62c | 35.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Yes | 36c | 34.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked No | 78c | 32.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 62c | 30.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 68c | 25.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Yes | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 16.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed No | 75c | 16.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 15.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 79c | 12.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-27?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.