South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464db65dbe90c3737445f9f76615cad27fd8c5c0a3df052dfbab916c6fa2ca5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 3,766$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 74c | 605.25$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 9c | 499.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 25c | 434.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…ae23backed Yes | 9c | 408.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 8c | 373.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 331.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 251.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…b0b8backed Yes | 10c | 207.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 16c | 202.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 185.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 11c | 173.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 172.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 9c | 172.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 20c | 163.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 14c | 145.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 138.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 27c | 123.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 19c | 121.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 25c | 116.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 75c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 104.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 27c | 101.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 23c | 100.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 74c | 75.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 22c | 65.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 56.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 74c | 46.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 39.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 75c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 73c | 21.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…ba07backed No | 75c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed No | 75c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 75c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-27?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.