South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1ee37c45e00bddb2f367a12b4577900490644a0edd63e8b41b10f361611f60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 1,505$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 1,265$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…6524backed Yes | 39c | 1,241$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 31c | 1,226$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.25 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 775.41$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 57c | 572.78$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 571.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…fe34backed Yes | 73c | 530.87$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 60c | 479.13$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 388.43$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 322.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 18c | 303.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.89 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 297.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 66c | 291.97$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 224$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 60c | 214.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 183$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 168.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 164.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 149.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 33c | 147.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 24c | 143.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked No | 75c | 132.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 23c | 128.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 43c | 117.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 34c | 91.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 89.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 79.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 25c | 74.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 68c | 68.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 66.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 31c | 44.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…4b01backed Yes | 24c | 43.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 41.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 66c | 39.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 75c | 37.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 48c | 36.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…f829backed No | 43c | 34.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 68c | 34.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7930…ef82backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 62c | 21.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked No | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.