South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d4e172345029d05355aac3de341064570a9c04b4554b89d11086a5432206b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 11c | 2,214$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 52c | 2,003$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.53 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 67c | 1,291$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.06 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 564.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.4 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 551.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.59 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 531.12$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.27 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 506.91$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 354.86$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.38 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 43c | 248$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.19 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 238.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 18c | 236.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 210.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 66c | 195.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 154.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 147.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 140.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 111.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 21c | 97.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 90.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 72.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 21c | 71.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 28c | 71.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 31c | 67.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 63.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 32c | 60.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes | 33c | 53.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 69c | 48.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 53c | 47.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 32c | 46.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 37c | 44.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 33c | 42.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 33.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…5bc3backed Yes | 39c | 25.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 65c | 16.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?this page
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.