South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8cbcacec9cc7c9317ec00f09148ab9c3d7a75182d1bddaf7c11a901f90b69e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 64c | 2,731$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.12 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 63c | 2,187$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.37 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 1,394$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.71 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…fe34backed Yes | 39c | 1,221$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…7959backed Yes | 15c | 1,189$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 3c | 806.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 684.23$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Yes | 2c | 580.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 39c | 535.08$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 36c | 517.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…b8edbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 504.93$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 341.01$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 16c | 316.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 15c | 298.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 39c | 292.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 31c | 251.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 62c | 214.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Yes | 38c | 194.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 39c | 187.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 151.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…3930backed Yes | 16c | 145.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…4e86backed Yes | 39c | 143.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes | 25c | 136$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 39c | 124.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 36c | 121.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 120.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked No | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Yes | 39c | 101.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 36c | 92.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 83.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 14c | 76.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Yes | 38c | 68.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 39c | 64.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 64.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 61.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes | 20c | 55.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…fcffbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 62c | 50.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…dbc4backed Yes | 33c | 45.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 63c | 44.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7ea3backed Yes | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…94acbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…ee05backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 39.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…ff77backed Yes | 39c | 38.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…fa9abacked Yes | 37c | 31.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 30.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…b424backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 36c | 28.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…dfaabacked Yes | 41c | 25.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 79c | 24.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.