Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cb11b27f5a59247886e21f6a80edcb44af6e1f5bd7deedc1f21d46f2c72f4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 43c | 3,461$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,690$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.08 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 936.17$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.56 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 730.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 592.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 540.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 441.21$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 428.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 51c | 350.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 31c | 321.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 48c | 299$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 286.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…3f48backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Under | 52c | 232.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 204.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 24c | 163.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 69c | 117$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Under | 54c | 107.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 103.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 59c | 102.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 43c | 92.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 64c | 78.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 74.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Under | 59c | 69.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 63c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 32c | 61.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 48.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Under | 34c | 45.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 42c | 44.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 62c | 40.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 57c | 39.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 33c | 34.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 31.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 29.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 41c | 27.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…49a7backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 54c | 21.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.