Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe571b4e19cfe70de3d803538ade9ac90386e67fe0d3616e774f51d00ebb30dd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 403.1$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 64c | 313.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 36c | 245.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 244.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 168$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 42c | 168$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -86%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 128.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 102.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 62c | 82.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 80.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 43c | 56.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 62c | 49.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 56c | 35.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 57c | 34.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 38c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.