Bundesliga · resolved market

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb951ef8853d647b6f136f381902c12661581b4dc1d9ff9c36c8308c61fdf03c8

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,259 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefdd…017fbacked Over	50c	35,000$17,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,511.44	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.34per pick	46cpaid	+74.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	16,120$8,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,065.92	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under	51c	12,730$6,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,509.74	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under	50c	8,765$4,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,382.7	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	50c	7,471$3,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,735.5	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	49c	6,909$3,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,492.64	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over	48c	5,597$2,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,910.21	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Under	52c	3,846$2,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.59	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	48c	3,110$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,609.85	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	10c	1,220$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.49	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	47c	1,075$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.75	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	50c	900$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452	168	50%84 W · 84 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	48c	749.87$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.93	142	54.2%77 W · 65 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	54c	689$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.06	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over	48c	655$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.6	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	50c	652.29$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.6	271	38.4%104 W · 167 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	47c	643.94$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.43	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over	50c	627.31$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.62	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over	48c	599.99$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.99	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	49c	568$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.68	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under	48c	510.64$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.42	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	42c	500.14$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.32	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	60c	400$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	52c	358.53$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.64	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over	48c	333$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.16	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Over	48c	333$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6396…3e5cbacked Under	40c	315.6$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over	49c	312.91$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.82	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under	9c	311.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.53	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	280.45$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.83	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	50c	254.81$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.06	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	49c	240$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.6	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.66	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	41c	197.59$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.18	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	48cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under	50c	174$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	50c	174$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	386	46.9%181 W · 205 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	50c	167.56$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.78	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-7.3wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	51c	155$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.05	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	48c	154.02$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.76	264	45.5%120 W · 144 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under	53c	150.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under	52c	144.17$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.97	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.9wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	52c	140$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78c3…9d16backed Under	52c	131.92$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	50c	123.96$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.98	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9733…f01dbacked Under	52c	115.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	49c	100.36$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.01	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+25%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe452…4de3backed Under	52c	86.48$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	48c	85$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	50c	82.95$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.48	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-4.9wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under	37c	80.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1744…b131backed Under	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	50cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over	48c	73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.96	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Under	50c	65$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	61cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	51c	63.95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	49c	63.08$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.17	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over	50c	60.91$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.46	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under	50c	58.34$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.45	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-4.0wins	-0.40per pick	50cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Under	52c	57.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	50c	56.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.63	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under	39c	52.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	174	56.9%99 W · 75 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	49c	51.91$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.41	213	55.4%118 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over	46c	49.44$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.7	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Under	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	74c	44$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-26%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	48c	44$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.88	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over	49c	42.89$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	48c	41.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over	48c	41.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	48c	41.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over	48c	40.37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Under	51c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+6.1wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	88	63.6%56 W · 32 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-27%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Over	48c	37.94$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.73	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over	45c	37.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Under	54c	36.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Over	50c	34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	51c	33.13$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over	48c	30.92$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.08	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+5.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under	54c	30.92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5this page
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event