Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff49e0eb3672481ed63a6f899e02e5bff14baeceb009a99b9ae8d66b64e0073

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,108 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	71c	9,943$7,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,906.29	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	38c	5,326$2,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.99	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	62c	5,000$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.99	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over	38c	3,500$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under	64c	3,199$2,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.7	201	40.8%82 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under	57c	2,813$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.21	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	62c	2,531$1,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.63	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over	25c	2,052$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Under	61c	1,500$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.99	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over	39c	1,231$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Over	47c	1,070$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over	29c	807.88$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.42	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	37c	589$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.2	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over	37c	534.82$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.82	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	179	59.8%107 W · 72 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	168	58.3%98 W · 70 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	38c	460$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.8	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over	40c	443.33$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.59	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under	54c	372.09$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.09	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	62c	311.97$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.55	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Over	38c	290.17$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	33c	284.2$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.79	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	78c	279$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.7	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	38c	258.49$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	68c	247.61$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.46	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	76c	227.37$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.3	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over	23c	204.75$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.09	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	114	57%65 W · 49 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	33c	192.26$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.44	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	54c	165.41$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.84	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over	54c	160.54$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	31c	148.21$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.18	132	50.8%67 W · 65 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under	68c	147.54$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.54	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	74c	144.75$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.09	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed42…fa17backed Over	37c	129.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Over	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Over	36c	118$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.48	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over	38c	111$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.18	173	37.6%65 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	38c	109.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.61	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	74c	84.83$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	220	57.7%127 W · 93 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Over	36c	83.51$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	38c	80$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	22c	77.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	39c	77.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	62c	76.19$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.95	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	33c	74.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	36c	73$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over	65c	72.85$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.55	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	35c	72.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Under	71c	70.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	22	81.8%18 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	58c	69.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.81	188	51.6%97 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	69c	66$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	279	48%134 W · 145 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	63c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.2	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Over	58c	58.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.78	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10f…3bb5backed Under	80c	56.25$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	69c	54.15$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.53	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over	38c	53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	118	42.4%50 W · 68 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Under	63c	50.57$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.71	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Under	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under	62c	48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	62c	47$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.86	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Under	63c	46.03$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	38c	44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over	48c	41.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under	65c	38.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	32c	35.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	75c	35.57$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde37…1911backed Under	53c	33.91$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under	63c	31.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.62	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	55c	31.06$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.96	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under	48c	31.02$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.28	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under	62c	30.6$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.63	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	44c	29.37$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.47	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under	76c	27.16$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.56	184	63%116 W · 68 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under	70c	22.84$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.91	158	58.2%92 W · 66 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	69c	19.65$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.09	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under	73c	16.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.44	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	62c	16.15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.14	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed3d…f1eabacked Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+66%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5this page
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event