Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417be7ccb322739f41d69e828bc6b4b2350bcb10764185fe3f1bad93d414cf4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brentford FCof Brentford FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Brentford FC | 30c | 20,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,899.87 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 14,009$9,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,762.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Brentford FC | 29c | 4,582$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.35 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Brentford FC | 30c | 3,336$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 1,784$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 1,763$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.07 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed West Ham United FC | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Brentford FC | 29c | 1,097$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.39 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed West Ham United FC | 71c | 1,043$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.53 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked West Ham United FC | 69c | 814.4$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.94 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brentford FC | 29c | 713.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.86 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked West Ham United FC | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 536.04$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.89 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 512$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed West Ham United FC | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Brentford FC | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked West Ham United FC | 69c | 298.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.3 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed West Ham United FC | 69c | 267.06$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.21 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 257.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 257.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked West Ham United FC | 69c | 230.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed West Ham United FC | 69c | 157$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked West Ham United FC | 71c | 151.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Brentford FC | 28c | 121.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed West Ham United FC | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed West Ham United FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 94.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Brentford FC | 38c | 92.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed West Ham United FC | 71c | 83.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…267abacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked West Ham United FC | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…ab6dbacked West Ham United FC | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed West Ham United FC | 61c | 67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed West Ham United FC | 69c | 66.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked West Ham United FC | 69c | 66.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Brentford FC | 44c | 63.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked West Ham United FC | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 57.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 56.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 56.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed West Ham United FC | 71c | 54.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd9…c4b4backed West Ham United FC | 71c | 51.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked West Ham United FC | 27c | 51.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Brentford FC | 79c | 50.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Brentford FC | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed West Ham United FC | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Brentford FC | 28c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Brentford FC | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked West Ham United FC | 62c | 42.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Brentford FC | 31c | 38.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked West Ham United FC | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed West Ham United FC | 52c | 32.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 32.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 31.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed West Ham United FC | 64c | 30.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked West Ham United FC | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed West Ham United FC | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 28.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked West Ham United FC | 70c | 26.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed West Ham United FC | 72c | 21.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…7f3abacked West Ham United FC | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed West Ham United FC | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…b2e2backed West Ham United FC | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)this page
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.