Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102fc87eaef821c49261d64be8b47e708a817291b1909617d4c5ead2a07e6e89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brentford FCof Brentford FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brentford FC | 17c | 5,500$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.46 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brentford FC | 15c | 1,063$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.55 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Brentford FC | 13c | 313.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.89 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Brentford FC | 15c | 298.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.64 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed West Ham United FC | 39c | 132$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Brentford FC | 13c | 93.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Brentford FC | 23c | 68.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked West Ham United FC | 76c | 49.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Brentford FC | 65c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Brentford FC | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brentford FC | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked West Ham United FC | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)this page
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.