TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$587,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$611,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes20c100,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Yes21c87,776$18,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,433.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No80c69,565$55,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,913.046456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c65,965$52,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,408.1491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c51,308$10,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,483.8316940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No79c40,491$32,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,377.033256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c35,637$28,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,209.381,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c24,811$19,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,210.3144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f8…96a4backed No79c19,711$15,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No80c13,987$11,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.489451.1%48 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No79c13,557$10,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.463953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes21c10,286$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No79c9,000$7,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8904259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Yes4c8,140$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes21c8,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68012832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No80c7,232$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.6110863.9%69 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes0c6,617$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes0c5,860$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes10c5,784$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.125123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No79c5,723$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.4911246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes20c5,683$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.671618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes21c5,381$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No79c5,131$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.485054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003040%12 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No79c4,992$3,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.4431849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes2c4,933$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes20c4,870$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes21c4,821$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd49…03b8backed Yes22c4,609$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No80c4,348$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.081,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No80c4,242$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c4,150$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83026022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes22c4,107$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes20c4,000$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8155034%17 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No80c3,634$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No80c3,495$2,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6996753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6307963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes20c2,958$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.5643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes10c2,755$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0211127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked No80c2,746$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Yes20c2,705$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5531723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No78c2,649$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fab…f5eabacked Yes21c2,595$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-62.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes20c2,489$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.272536%9 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb449…5e07backed No79c2,370$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes21c2,350$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.511226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No80c2,331$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.296947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes15c2,316$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No78c2,117$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7419250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdd…aa2dbacked Yes2c2,003$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Yes21c1,872$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes18c1,868$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No79c1,766$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.951283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+68.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes25c1,758$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a2…0593backed No80c1,688$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes21c1,667$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes6c1,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4761…4211backed Yes20c1,607$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f8…b3e6backed Yes21c1,504$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+94.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c1,392$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.21,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No79c1,259$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7210452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No79c1,083$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes1c1,034$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1143…b69fbacked Yes21c1,021$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes22c1,015$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-83.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes21c1,007$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.46128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes20c1,006$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.115947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…9e46backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No79c999.99$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2109054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No79c936.71$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.711450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes21c930.29$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes12c900$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054427.3%12 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes20c894.92$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.311839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Yes21c773.33$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dfa…1d81backed Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes20c739$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.81241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No80c723$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.616543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No80c704.99$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9344156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa006…9c5ebacked Yes22c701.77$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes20c645$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes17c636.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes20c629$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.82755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c613.74$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308117.3%14 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.