Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc824c673df81d55d8002b421a7a23bd8c29776db8f1ee31767ae42dff575154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 49,071$12,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,267.74 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…4bfabacked No | 76c | 24,312$18,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 23,468$17,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.78 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 26c | 19,231$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 16,224$12,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.86 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 13,813$10,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.39 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 17c | 12,803$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 17c | 5,971$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 4c | 3,755$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 7c | 3,555$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 3,264$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.69 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 2,860$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.9 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,345$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 1c | 2,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 28c | 1,982$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes | 25c | 1,947$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 75c | 1,926$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.6 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,911$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 75c | 1,873$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 74c | 1,646$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.94 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,545$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.24 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 1,474$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 25c | 995.66$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…1764backed Yes | 17c | 941.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 24c | 860.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…85edbacked No | 76c | 750$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…3042backed Yes | 3c | 667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 655.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 14c | 641.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7f…34ecbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 505.85$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 74c | 500$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 14c | 499.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 494.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 76c | 489.99$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Yes | 25c | 446.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 4c | 446.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 25c | 429.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…7fe5backed Yes | 25c | 376.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 25c | 373$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 6c | 365$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Yes | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…feabbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 312.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 25c | 308$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 75c | 296.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked Yes | 15c | 256.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed No | 74c | 241.26$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 75c | 240.75$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 240$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 25c | 218.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 15c | 206$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 7c | 190.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes | 26c | 186.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 16c | 181.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…f1d0backed Yes | 25c | 177.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 170.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a8…91fdbacked Yes | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…5e01backed Yes | 15c | 163$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…8f69backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 25c | 156.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 25c | 155$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 144.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 26c | 142$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 134$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…8febbacked Yes | 17c | 126.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58f…130dbacked Yes | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6bf7backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 33cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.