TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc58f…130d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT11352.2%59 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.65
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.6
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.93
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$49.3
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$46.39
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$35.77
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.88
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$46.84
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$42.67
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$62.62
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.69
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$27.97
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$36.51
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.52
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$35.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$70.3
Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$115.74
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.48
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+89.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.