MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb59effaba8164e18fa022d3ab889c1868171f599794bbbce7c1b36ef845056e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Washington Nationals, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $844,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $779,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $844,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 111,996$55,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,157.15 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 107,032$54,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,586.24 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 59c | 82,079$48,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,577.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…b9f8backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 80,803$41,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,949.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 79,178$35,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,216.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 74,282$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 49c | 67,591$33,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,354.28 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 48c | 64,537$31,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,251.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 38,909$19,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,955 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Athletics | 49c | 28,988$14,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,698.27 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 50c | 25,603$12,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,781.38 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 55c | 23,904$13,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,831.76 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Athletics | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 50c | 19,039$9,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,605.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 18,981$9,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 49c | 18,291$8,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,392.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Athletics | 49c | 17,959$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,159.18 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Athletics | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Athletics | 49c | 14,680$7,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,486.8 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 50c | 9,070$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 49c | 8,775$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.32 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…3035backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 54c | 6,745$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Athletics | 51c | 6,694$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.77 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics | 50c | 6,669$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.02 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Athletics | 50c | 5,997$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.47 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 5,983$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 5,764$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.87 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 49c | 5,648$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.47 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Athletics | 55c | 5,000$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.35 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Athletics | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.94 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 50c | 4,095$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.55 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 4,090$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Athletics | 49c | 3,963$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.97 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Athletics | 50c | 3,895$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.76 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Athletics | 47c | 3,833$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.66 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 3,645$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.02 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 50c | 3,370$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 50c | 3,115$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.63 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,730$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.91 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics | 49c | 2,535$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.85 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,205$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Nationals | 3c | 2,133$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 2,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 2,020$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics | 51c | 2,018$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.18 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Athletics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Athletics | 48c | 2,000$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,888$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.52 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics | 49c | 1,887$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.47 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 51c | 1,770$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.75 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,742$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.42 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,694$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.34 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Athletics | 51c | 1,600$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.3 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Athletics | 51c | 1,593$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.55 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.5 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,490$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 1,434$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,280$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.56 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 52c | 1,242$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.32 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Athletics | 50c | 1,176$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.13 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Athletics | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.82 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Athletics | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Athletics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Athletics | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Athletics | 51c | 980.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.4 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Athletics | 49c | 910$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 50c | 896$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 883.4$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 882.12$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.56 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 876.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 837.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 811.93$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.01 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Athletics | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Athletics | 49c | 769.62$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.51 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 737.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 645.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Athletics | 49c | 636.73$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.73 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics | 49c | 594.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Athletics | 50c | 588.52$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 535.42$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 533.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Athletics | 49c | 513.43$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Athletics | 57c | 473.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Washington Nationals | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked Washington Nationals | 13c | 425.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 420$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsthis page
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Athletics won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.