MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fa5dee1ae2508a05779c08707ed823df3dad95472e6748b1b8808b8add463ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 240,695$123,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,287.65 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 49c | 168,888$82,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,132.88 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 36,721$17,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,870.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 51c | 20,500$10,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,455 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 18,573$8,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,715.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.66 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 48c | 9,983$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.26 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 8,396$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 5,653$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 49c | 4,306$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.93 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 4,086$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 3,006$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 2,727$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.77 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 49c | 2,485$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.52 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,359$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,063$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.13 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 1,045$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.88 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 41c | 912.01$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.93 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 833.09$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.88 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 660.05$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.85 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 500$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 409.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 37c | 362.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 49c | 320.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 277.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 57c | 262$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…7248backed Under | 31c | 226.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 199.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 71c | 170.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 72c | 162$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 50c | 140.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 62c | 140.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 24c | 120.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 45c | 111.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 55c | 105.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 51c | 89.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…a328backed Under | 28c | 71.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 53.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 51c | 53.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 51.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 54c | 48.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…cf7cbacked Over | 48c | 41.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 50c | 41.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 75c | 40.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Over | 69c | 38.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked Under | 42c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefe…7ff4backed Under | 52c | 34.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 34.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 35c | 33.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 49c | 30.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 54c | 29.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Over | 50c | 29.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…9459backed Over | 72c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…334cbacked Over | 69c | 26.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 54c | 23.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 66c | 15.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5this page
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Athletics won
- Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.