MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5810d0884dda0fbb907a59cdb066324475657c22646941bad677b084e466ded2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 42c | 107,807$45,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,567.22 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 58c | 39,560$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,760 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Over | 58c | 19,005$11,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,982.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 58c | 4,954$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 4,719$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 57c | 4,323$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.16 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 4,184$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 58c | 3,072$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.24 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 30c | 1,846$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.17 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 58c | 1,424$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.13 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 21c | 1,164$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 946.56$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.68 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 62c | 915$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 58c | 905$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 769.18$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 58c | 704.24$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.78 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 697.95$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 643.49$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.45 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 620.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 588.62$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 40c | 479.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 466$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 449.49$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Under | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 326.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 31c | 237.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 42c | 187.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 8c | 134.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 124.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 33c | 120.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Over | 59c | 116.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Over | 55c | 116$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 59c | 111.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 110.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Over | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Over | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 59c | 98.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 17c | 89.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…d6e9backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 51c | 80.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 31c | 76.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…a328backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…cf7cbacked Over | 57c | 61.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Under | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 73c | 48.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 42.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked Under | 31c | 42.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 56c | 39.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 37.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 44c | 34.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Over | 59c | 33.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Over | 57c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…bf45backed Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 55c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 62c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 59c | 19.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Athletics won
- Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.