Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe52f520050dcbc0d1d470e2f1e487d1560b128c188a27f1166f184e22bafaff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 51c | 50,819$25,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,809.54 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 49c | 43,150$21,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,006.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 49c | 34,757$16,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,978.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 51c | 32,338$16,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,492.21 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…8ac9backed Yes | 43c | 22,833$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,032.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked No | 50c | 17,331$8,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,632.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 49c | 16,500$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 54c | 12,732$6,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.52 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 50c | 12,047$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 47c | 11,517$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.51 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 50c | 10,786$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,431.73 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 50c | 9,655$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71e…79a1backed Yes | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 50c | 8,893$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.43 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed No | 56c | 8,576$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…60cbbacked Yes | 48c | 8,081$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes | 49c | 8,058$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…1351backed Yes | 49c | 7,977$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.29 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 48cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 57c | 6,785$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.19 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…28aebacked No | 56c | 6,343$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 50c | 6,234$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…c9afbacked Yes | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked No | 49c | 4,935$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 2c | 4,442$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.13 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.71 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 79c | 4,009$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 19c | 3,934$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.67 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 47c | 3,917$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.74 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 50c | 3,641$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.54 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 77c | 3,249$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…1314backed Yes | 50c | 3,116$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…7504backed Yes | 49c | 2,920$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 47c | 2,781$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.29 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 44c | 2,675$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 2c | 2,641$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,627$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.03 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 56c | 2,494$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 21c | 2,412$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Yes | 50c | 2,384$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…b9dfbacked No | 56c | 2,173$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8067…a98dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 49c | 2,000$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.29 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 32c | 1,998$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.69 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 49c | 1,990$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Yes | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…a640backed Yes | 78c | 1,914$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 1,906$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 58c | 1,855$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.98 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…3ad3backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 50c | 1,655$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…f051backed Yes | 48c | 1,647$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…6a76backed Yes | 44c | 1,639$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 4c | 1,630$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 50c | 1,608$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.18 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed No | 13c | 1,604$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…755ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,599$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 1,597$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.1 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 48c | 1,588$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 16c | 1,575$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 52c | 1,561$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.66 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 1,449$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.43 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…7fb5backed Yes | 49c | 1,408$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Yes | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed No | 50c | 1,400$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…b75dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,287$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…0a39backed No | 9c | 1,159$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed No | 24c | 1,132$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 31c | 1,115$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed No | 49c | 1,049$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,033$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…d54abacked No | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c82…7312backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked No | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,010$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…8d85backed Yes | 73c | 959.27$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes | 48c | 831$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed No | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 26c | 783$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52e…0a1cbacked Yes | 47c | 725.08$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed No | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 51c | 702$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Yes | 48c | 686.51$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked No | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Yes | 49c | 642.86$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…9475backed Yes | 45c | 627.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked No | 57c | 603.44$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Yes | 48c | 600$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…9a48backed Yes | 49c | 596.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…7626backed Yes | 51c | 578.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…3806backed No | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.