Champions League · resolved market
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f8ff63b9f582bf7b6d1722d45859c00a7c9aa1fb65ac7efe765ba03d911317e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Yes | 36c | 2,317$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 1,820$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.29 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 18c | 1,398$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 65c | 948.8$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 36c | 940.72$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 64c | 920$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 64c | 877$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 35c | 740.72$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 611$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 64c | 520$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 14c | 488.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 34c | 423.25$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed No | 62c | 286.84$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 34c | 245$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 66c | 245$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 13c | 236$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 22c | 232.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…f1cdbacked Yes | 17c | 232$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 73c | 202.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 39c | 188$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff31…0d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 185.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 164$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd19…6910backed Yes | 37c | 150.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc019…1b31backed Yes | 36c | 139.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fec8backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 23c | 138.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 34c | 125.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…9487backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…a6dabacked Yes | 37c | 120.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed Yes | 11c | 110.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 32c | 95.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…5847backed Yes | 32c | 83.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 64c | 82.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5963…dff1backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…cd0dbacked Yes | 40c | 75.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 33c | 70.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 65.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…4599backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…e2ddbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 61c | 27.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed No | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 63c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 65c | 18.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…22ebbacked No | 60c | 18.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.