Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1109800f5de195bbbbaf81b783de4792b6a8a2fbe9b604c715a39c5ae2a2a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $551,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes | 54c | 80,705$43,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,415.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 47c | 52,069$24,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,398.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 49c | 28,682$13,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,690.58 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 51c | 28,153$14,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,232.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 50c | 26,400$13,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,285.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked No | 46c | 22,178$10,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,906.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 47c | 20,936$9,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,024.78 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 53c | 20,000$10,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,591 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 47c | 20,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,700 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 45c | 19,828$8,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,883.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 53c | 19,314$10,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,236.42 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 46c | 18,484$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,019.73 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…e118backed Yes | 58c | 15,877$9,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 58c | 14,979$8,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.87 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 23c | 12,795$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 50c | 10,001$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 77c | 9,841$7,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.86 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 51c | 9,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…5bedbacked No | 74c | 7,864$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 52c | 7,166$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 7,017$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.22 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 42c | 6,390$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.92 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Yes | 49c | 5,898$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 60c | 5,744$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.17 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 11c | 5,200$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 48c | 5,121$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.92 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 23c | 5,098$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.68 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked No | 51c | 4,935$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 46c | 4,800$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.17 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 58c | 4,730$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 47c | 4,432$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.81 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked No | 42c | 4,320$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 47c | 4,271$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…9b36backed Yes | 59c | 4,258$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…52aebacked No | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 45c | 4,131$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 48c | 4,103$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 51c | 4,060$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.43 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 52c | 3,965$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.6 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,919$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…3c7fbacked Yes | 53c | 3,728$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…af4bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,668$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed No | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked No | 49c | 3,595$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ea1backed Yes | 57c | 3,548$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 3,431$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.06 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Yes | 41c | 3,266$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…d370backed Yes | 22c | 3,097$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…0a39backed Yes | 22c | 3,012$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 78c | 2,951$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.57 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…1a81backed Yes | 58c | 2,852$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…9997backed Yes | 52c | 2,625$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 51c | 2,500$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 48c | 2,492$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.1 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed No | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +250%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed No | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 44c | 2,273$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…1c29backed No | 45c | 2,200$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bb92backed No | 47c | 2,093$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed No | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.5 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked No | 49c | 2,050$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…2916backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…4e68backed Yes | 51c | 1,930$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c58…7001backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes | 57c | 1,807$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 48c | 1,670$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.39 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 66c | 1,608$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.05 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes | 2c | 1,520$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 49c | 1,430$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 54c | 1,393$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.17 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…532cbacked No | 48c | 1,365$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…0569backed Yes | 52c | 1,330$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.81 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 48c | 1,252$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.11 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 57c | 1,217$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 48c | 1,204$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 1,141$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.36 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 48c | 1,107$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked No | 48c | 1,071$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 41c | 1,034$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 57c | 1,003$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.32 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…c23dbacked Yes | 51c | 994.04$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 55c | 971.85$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.74 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…0c4cbacked Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 45c | 939.07$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 53c | 866.3$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 49c | 850$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.