Champions League · resolved market
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af41b65da35be66b9b7c11392005e33b5cc24fce3d1c2b90b547a6e8dcdeb0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 70c | 69,000$48,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,654.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 55,348$15,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,902.65 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 71c | 51,548$36,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,714.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 67c | 46,555$31,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,142.14 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked Yes | 30c | 41,395$12,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,480 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 72c | 21,507$15,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 72c | 13,882$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…4b67backed Yes | 38c | 13,123$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 71c | 13,062$9,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.02 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 31c | 11,193$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.05 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.98 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 75c | 6,962$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 62c | 6,383$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.42 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Yes | 31c | 6,005$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 72c | 5,271$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ea1backed Yes | 38c | 5,270$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 27c | 4,884$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.8 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…353bbacked Yes | 28c | 4,750$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…b8f1backed No | 65c | 4,617$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 9c | 4,313$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.06 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 37c | 3,400$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,373$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Yes | 29c | 3,069$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 64c | 2,947$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.66 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 27c | 2,367$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 37c | 2,179$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.17 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,075$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 63c | 1,803$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.28 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 28c | 1,718$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Yes | 37c | 1,699$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 73c | 1,688$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 27c | 1,646$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 37c | 1,624$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 71c | 1,599$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 27c | 1,534$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.07 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 71c | 1,527$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 4c | 1,370$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c494backed Yes | 27c | 1,344$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…96debacked Yes | 17c | 1,285$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 31c | 1,279$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 27c | 1,264$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.35 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,242$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 63c | 1,240$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…5b43backed Yes | 41c | 1,237$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,199$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 70c | 1,145$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.18 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 57c | 1,131$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.63 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…4e68backed Yes | 27c | 1,110$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 1,091$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…138dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,090$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Yes | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…8db0backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0876…e507backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…1cbdbacked Yes | 28c | 964.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 33c | 948.19$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.84 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 37c | 946$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…1c0bbacked Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8d…d33fbacked Yes | 23c | 875.74$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 24c | 832.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 29c | 825.66$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…1314backed Yes | 29c | 810.83$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…f99bbacked Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes | 29c | 805$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 32c | 790.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 63c | 750$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…5e7fbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 31c | 731.17$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 30c | 666.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 28c | 662.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes | 37c | 656$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked No | 66c | 615.79$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e31…a5f5backed Yes | 34c | 596.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 27c | 593.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…74f8backed Yes | 34c | 590$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes | 35c | 571.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed No | 71c | 569.98$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed Yes | 37c | 560$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed No | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8447…7443backed Yes | 16c | 552.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 29c | 515.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 504.52$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Yes | 28c | 470.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 37c | 455.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…6ca9backed Yes | 27c | 419.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 35c | 415.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…2ea2backed Yes | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 54c | 406.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…ae81backed Yes | 30c | 398.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…91adbacked Yes | 29c | 394.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…5752backed Yes | 37c | 381.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Yes | 27c | 371$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…26adbacked Yes | 31c | 359.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.