TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6976…f99b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+629.9%+$1,889.78
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+396.5%+$562.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$108.09
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+126%+$63.02
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.09
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$23.09
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$569.23
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+321.4%+$128.55
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$271.29
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$296.69
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.18
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$45.65
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$65.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+74.7%+$411.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+31.8%+$51.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$115.79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$242
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$730.29
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$292.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$347.02
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.8%+$454.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$49.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$30.42
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$150
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$112.24
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST120%0 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$689.99
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,410
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$73.1
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$234.99
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.9%+$199.21
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$27.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+48.7%+$146.08
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+30.1%+$69.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KATSEYE be nominated for Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.