NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a210903a10db7135a5f910416c74082122f33536c97e97fdc30bf2d2c68a956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,003,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,715,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,003,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,979 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Pistons | 56c | 522,624$292,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229,954.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Hawks | 44c | 259,897$115,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,300.98 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Hawks | 51c | 205,062$104,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,221.61 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 44c | 193,996$85,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,383.4 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 52c | 159,912$82,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,298.62 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Hawks | 46c | 148,299$68,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,359 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Hawks | 46c | 140,978$64,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,299.71 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pistons | 54c | 137,495$74,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,028.78 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Hawks | 50c | 129,189$64,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,117.43 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 25c | 78,204$19,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,932.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 52c | 65,027$33,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,214.63 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 58c | 63,210$36,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,664.13 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Hawks | 45c | 52,973$23,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,838 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Pistons | 56c | 52,973$29,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,308.21 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Pistons | 50c | 51,163$25,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,581.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 47c | 50,623$23,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,683.41 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Pistons | 67c | 40,559$27,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,271.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Pistons | 66c | 40,000$26,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,678.2 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks | 26c | 36,291$9,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,431.59 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pistons | 56c | 26,969$15,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,884.95 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Hawks | 15c | 26,753$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons | 54c | 25,208$13,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,714.29 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Hawks | 49c | 22,509$11,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,029.63 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a3a3backed Hawks | 48c | 22,222$10,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,666.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 55c | 20,492$11,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,241.24 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pistons | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Pistons | 52c | 19,408$10,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,315.86 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks | 47c | 18,377$8,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.14 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hawks | 46c | 17,953$8,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,204.64 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Hawks | 51c | 17,647$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hawks | 25c | 16,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hawks | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks | 44c | 14,893$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.87 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hawks | 49c | 14,837$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.61 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Hawks | 2c | 14,800$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hawks | 18c | 14,680$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.6 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Pistons | 51c | 14,354$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,054.08 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Pistons | 52c | 14,195$7,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,813.37 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Hawks | 48c | 14,116$6,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,771.77 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 42c | 13,642$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.53 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawks | 47c | 13,547$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.6 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons | 62c | 12,971$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.96 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Hawks | 51c | 12,000$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,070 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Pistons | 57c | 11,841$6,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.87 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…ab22backed Pistons | 70c | 11,429$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks | 48c | 11,372$5,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,495.77 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pistons | 56c | 10,889$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Pistons | 80c | 10,500$8,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.73 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 30c | 10,442$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…18c5backed Hawks | 49c | 10,402$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pistons | 79c | 10,000$7,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.82 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…9baebacked Pistons | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks | 49c | 9,840$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.8 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Pistons | 78c | 9,823$7,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks | 46c | 9,300$4,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 21c | 9,220$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.21 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pistons | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Hawks | 51c | 8,400$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks | 45c | 8,141$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.27 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks | 42c | 7,799$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.84 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Pistons | 68c | 7,335$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.53 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Hawks | 48c | 7,040$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.18 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Hawks | 1c | 6,404$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Pistons | 53c | 6,383$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.14 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…a964backed Pistons | 52c | 6,300$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pistons | 70c | 6,227$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.75 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Pistons | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…1accbacked Pistons | 50c | 5,990$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Pistons | 61c | 5,915$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 68c | 5,351$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 27c | 5,246$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.69 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 46c | 5,206$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Pistons | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Hawks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hawks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Pistons | 73c | 4,716$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.2 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Pistons | 53c | 4,712$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.43 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Hawks | 44c | 4,600$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.97 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Pistons | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Hawks | 16c | 4,500$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Pistons | 50c | 4,414$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.35 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Pistons | 71c | 4,413$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.02 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 52c | 4,411$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Pistons | 73c | 4,243$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.25 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Pistons | 51c | 4,240$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.45 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 43c | 4,000$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Pistons | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Hawks | 44c | 3,850$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.81 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 23c | 3,698$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Hawks | 44c | 3,646$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks | 16c | 3,621$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.54 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Pistons | 52c | 3,433$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.51 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pistons | 52c | 3,373$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.09 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 52c | 3,372$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Hawksthis page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.