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NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5224…0de8backed Over72c21,000$15,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8705658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under28c9,947$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.2676054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c9,453$4,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,292.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40015656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9928850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over57c3,076$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over55c2,893$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.8614156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under44c2,579$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.952,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under28c2,494$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.92,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c2,369$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed Over57c2,245$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.32977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd4…308cbacked Over54c1,789$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.126660.6%40 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c1,669$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.5187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,669$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c1,505$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c1,497$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.233,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Over53c787.57$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.5715461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c695.08$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa499…7873backed Over57c527$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.614955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under52c498$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9614953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under46c400$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18534645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3da…db64backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.883542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over57c335$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Over34c290.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6713318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under28c275$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over55c263.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7518536.2%67 W · 118 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c209.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.82,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under43c209.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.982,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over49c204.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8670153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Over51c196.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7111647.4%55 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1912950.4%65 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e7…4763backed Over56c176.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.791553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4417456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4410062%62 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c52…ff83backed Over20c153.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.125642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over56c143.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Over53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.120754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7283…f4abbacked Under50c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4361253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c54…fbe0backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.296100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…79cbbacked Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb20a…2de4backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under43c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.416952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x230a…59b1backed Over56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.364656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2921…78b3backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.475451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over57c75.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4411853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da6…53edbacked Over49c69.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.395056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b2…3886backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.974452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6319451.5%100 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under31c67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9763427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Over57c61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.234151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7b…7701backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.755345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under46c52.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9830244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6310464.4%67 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.972,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab2…5735backed Over57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.888741.4%36 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd5e…271bbacked Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55856.9%33 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70a…f6c3backed Over62c47.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Over55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2886…0e62backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under28c43.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3459743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2024955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x273d…0bf9backed Over53c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9585…475cbacked Over49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…748cbacked Over58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77454.1%40 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92dc…ae66backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc609…f29abacked Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.795341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc76…d76dbacked Under45c26.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d8…48b7backed Over49c26.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.535451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1cd…67e2backed Over49c26.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…91c0backed Over52c24.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.544562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x571c…0bb5backed Over51c22.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.057058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4906…46a1backed Over51c22.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.053351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43af…da96backed Over49c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.454850%24 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a3…8593backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816669.9%116 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.