TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Hawks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks47c91,872$43,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,036.6372450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons54c73,514$39,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,086.759,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Hawks47c45,000$21,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,15017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Hawks44c34,261$14,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,954.645151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pistons53c30,116$15,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,154.5269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons54c24,830$13,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,422.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Pistons53c16,085$8,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,559.817946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawks47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7004766%31 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons54c7,422$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,425.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons55c6,690$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.51,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7202,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons55c3,276$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.222,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hawks45c2,852$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.882,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons55c2,550$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.722,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Hawks48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9816446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Hawks47c2,320$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.42951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Pistons54c2,250$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.5310042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x833a…be84backed Hawks47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pistons55c2,188$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.620352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Pistons53c2,120$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.430351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons54c2,019$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.472,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons53c1,981$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.541,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons55c1,898$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.262,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fea…8eabbacked Pistons51c1,408$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Hawks46c1,376$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.8917644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks48c1,195$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.572,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Pistons53c981.21$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.2317233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pistons52c945$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.647751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Pistons53c922$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Pistons53c612.2$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7335851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Hawks48c528.29$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.184522.2%10 W · 35 L-10.8wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-58.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Hawks48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hawks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23545647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22534645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons53c429$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Pistons52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14434645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a81…aa82backed Hawks47c235.88$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Hawks47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012550.4%63 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pistons57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5366046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Hawks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Hawks47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9454951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons55c176.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.283,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea41…2312backed Pistons58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55c4…0121backed Pistons53c158.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.493271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Pistons53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.518558.4%108 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Pistons53c138.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6518053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a8…aec0backed Pistons54c132.26$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks48c108.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.933,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Pistons55c108.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.447261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6881…525dbacked Pistons52c95.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.691566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Pistons54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0711251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Pistons54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0710253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Hawks45c73.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Pistons52c71.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.158146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hawks45c70.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…7701backed Hawks48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc7…b89bbacked Pistons59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.322759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Pistons54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks45c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73da…8c9bbacked Pistons53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1740853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d0…17abbacked Hawks47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Pistons59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.379851%50 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons53c41.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.462,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Pistons53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.814953%79 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Pistons53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7425351%129 W · 124 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Pistons54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Pistons54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Hawks45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Hawks45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.773445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa26…c10abacked Pistons59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e6…5a30backed Hawks49c25.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.353366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa9…259ebacked Pistons56c25.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.087856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Pistons57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8418357.4%105 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.582,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pistons57c21.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Pistons53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8721051.4%108 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Pistons56c20.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.798652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a1…435cbacked Pistons55c19.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.824060%24 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.