NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba2931dcb266c5f08f30b4110d53c01fff992c82e0ca9e938cd41ee5825d880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Over | 51c | 7,700$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 6,339$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Under | 51c | 5,643$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…4f64backed Under | 49c | 4,658$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 3,290$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.9 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…4ffbbacked Under | 49c | 3,040$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 2,223$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.4 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 49c | 1,785$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.24 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…87fdbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Over | 53c | 1,523$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.91 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,438$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Over | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 51c | 949.02$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.02 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 717.62$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.84 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…4489backed Over | 50c | 416.8$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +7.4wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 261$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 45c | 237.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 180$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 51c | 143.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 45c | 136.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d6…9920backed Over | 52c | 135.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Under | 56c | 118.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 43c | 80.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Over | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…ac31backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4d91backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. HawksPistons won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.