TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf28…72aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT13318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+566.7%+$595
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+292.2%+$744.98
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.96
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+317%+$387.7
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$406.58
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$190.71
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$616
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+342.5%+$568.89
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29.86
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$87.99
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$214
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or higher on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56%+$7.18
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.61
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$103.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+81.5%+$53.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$295.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$67.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.