NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x873adac2a5cd101b56b97eff73f40a69ccc8be747fc9d0e15bb5c011a3a6770b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 8,949$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.03 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,829$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.16 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Over | 48c | 1,083$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 49c | 745.05$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 47c | 407.55$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Over | 10c | 300.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 295$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 48c | 182.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 52c | 153.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Under | 51c | 89.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Under | 71c | 79.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 39c | 51.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 52c | 43.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…8e5ebacked Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f9…15eebacked Under | 60c | 39.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 30.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…86a5backed Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…f78abacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…bd5dbacked Under | 68c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Under | 50c | 28.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…0919backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…389cbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5this page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.