NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40ac273c2abd8487dda3728653e10d143312422dbe92d20c1bf0aa12ca2b2ee2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a61…92f4backed Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…4b3bbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 2,766$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.2 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 2,416$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.85 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 50c | 522.69$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 52c | 192.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 49c | 151.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…6911backed Over | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 113.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 109.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4681…a324backed Over | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Over | 49c | 107.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 107.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Over | 52c | 102.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 50c | 80.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 51c | 51.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 49c | 32.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Under | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0d41backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ef…a7a4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5this page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.