NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a8f69bbb43fc9e940e5907d0255ff0db69b41f883fb5004fd28b2a8a9732836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Trail Blazers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 10,710$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.59 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 53c | 6,972$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Spurs | 53c | 4,468$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.19 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,046$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.76 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,860$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 51c | 919.79$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Spurs | 53c | 876.03$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.31 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 53c | 299$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 287.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 183.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 149.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 103.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Spurs | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Spurs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 78.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Spurs | 53c | 60.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Spurs | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Spurs | 54c | 46.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…5e47backed Spurs | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Spurs | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 23.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…fd58backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…c3d6backed Spurs | 54c | 19.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.