NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1c4b9cd24abc0f93c0d64857595ebf22fe4ea202d0e6a36c3032ab695b58ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 18,234$9,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,117.09 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 52c | 2,562$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.52 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 2,368$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,124$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,038$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 742$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.3 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 50c | 561$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 470.92$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 459.33$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 340$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 317.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 49c | 288.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 275$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 50c | 219$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 56c | 180.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Over | 78c | 128.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 52c | 117.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 106$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…ff2cbacked Over | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 60c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 61.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 50c | 49.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Over | 55c | 46.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Under | 35c | 39.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5this page
- Mavericks vs. ClippersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.