NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c9fa4e5b8f9d0879e64dd5088a704f2d5d748a8f0b93fa32fcb49006f7ec55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Clippers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 54c | 2,087$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,972$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,081$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.06 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Mavericks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Clippers | 52c | 940$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Mavericks | 48c | 940$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.8 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Mavericks | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 50c | 103.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Mavericks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Mavericks | 46c | 75.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Mavericks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 47c | 33.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Mavericks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…1389backed Mavericks | 52c | 25.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. ClippersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.