NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa87c798eeed2bd31c1d7a3ad0e309500674d1eb414f6eb9ac9680d870bc81bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Clippers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe971…350cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…eb74backed Clippers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mavericks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 55c | 1,829$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.95 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,777$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.35 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,442$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 45c | 1,390$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.26 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers | 50c | 1,015$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.25 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Mavericks | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Clippers | 51c | 699$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.49 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Clippers | 53c | 580.22$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.52 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 45c | 484.57$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Clippers | 45c | 431$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Clippers | 60c | 373.33$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Mavericks | 46c | 273.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mavericks | 48c | 252$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Mavericks | 49c | 217.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Clippers | 52c | 216.58$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Clippers | 51c | 204.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Mavericks | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Mavericks | 54c | 131$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clippers | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Clippers | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Clippers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Clippers | 55c | 91.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…02ccbacked Clippers | 54c | 86.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…e12cbacked Clippers | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Clippers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Mavericks | 51c | 77.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Mavericks | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Clippers | 29c | 69.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…3d44backed Clippers | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70eb…635abacked Mavericks | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks | 48c | 34.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 36c | 28.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Clippers | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…25e1backed Clippers | 58c | 22.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. ClippersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.