Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c936dbb09c3c2030a2e11ba097895b9c9c8d628d5870563f56b6c47033c7ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 58c | 1,378$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 35c | 848.65$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 62c | 567.42$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 52c | 537.72$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 444.65$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 50c | 424.45$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 6c | 417.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes | 49c | 406.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 44c | 385.61$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 375.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 370.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.61 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Yes | 65c | 339.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 34c | 318.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…6525backed Yes | 48c | 312.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 52c | 304.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 66c | 301.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 71c | 285.74$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 45c | 281.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed No | 5c | 279.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 57c | 262.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…3ac2backed Yes | 39c | 253.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…6725backed No | 29c | 249.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 40c | 213.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 203.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 53c | 200.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7bddbacked No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 52c | 199.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 50c | 198.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 40c | 194.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…95f1backed Yes | 55c | 182.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…f7edbacked Yes | 50c | 181.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…b012backed No | 46c | 178.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…4a4cbacked Yes | 55c | 178.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…8a4dbacked Yes | 56c | 176.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…8503backed No | 46c | 167.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked No | 49c | 167.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 60c | 164.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 50c | 160.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 43c | 158.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…48cdbacked Yes | 68c | 154.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 153.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…63adbacked No | 67c | 148.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…b96cbacked No | 18c | 147.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 37c | 145.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 59c | 144.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 141.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…e897backed No | 49c | 141$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…8d55backed No | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 44c | 140.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 69c | 140.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 133.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 48c | 131.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…c39dbacked No | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 47c | 126.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 60c | 124.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 120.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1019backed Yes | 49c | 120.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes | 70c | 112.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 40c | 110.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 35c | 109.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 46c | 106.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 47c | 104.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…ee2abacked Yes | 50c | 100.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc4…c01ebacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…751ebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +187.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c1…c3a7backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…adf1backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 50c | 99.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes | 65c | 99.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…062cbacked Yes | 52c | 96.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 62c | 94.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 68c | 91.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 91.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…916fbacked No | 34c | 89.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…5154backed Yes | 74c | 88.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 40c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed No | 17c | 85.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 51c | 84.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 55c | 81.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 23c | 80.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 42c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 44c | 79.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 49c | 78.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 13c | 76.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed No | 64c | 76.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…d81dbacked Yes | 56c | 76.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 52c | 74.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed No | 54c | 74.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b076backed Yes | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 36c | 71.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 26c | 67.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed Yes | 44c | 66.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.