Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ad7f6edbcd93d532c31aebc0b19c60ea9e05391f50d63ef1b18920ed583f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd1…b3febacked Yes | 14c | 7,022$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…e69abacked Yes | 13c | 5,781$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…5a4ebacked Yes | 13c | 5,747$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 5c | 2,545$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 11c | 1,766$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…6f82backed Yes | 9c | 1,159$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 9c | 841.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 824.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 28c | 761.56$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.29 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acc…9bdabacked Yes | 2c | 690$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 6c | 596.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 10c | 585.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 11c | 584.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 77c | 461.49$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes | 24c | 410.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 6c | 373.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 22c | 362.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 79c | 354.94$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked Yes | 17c | 349.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 80c | 346.82$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 13c | 345.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 9c | 310.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Yes | 15c | 270$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 268.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…d802backed Yes | 18c | 234.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…3ac2backed Yes | 29c | 207.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…9f95backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…7875backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked Yes | 23c | 192.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 13c | 192.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…ab83backed Yes | 7c | 188$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…cd53backed Yes | 19c | 184.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 25c | 160.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…6525backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed Yes | 26c | 149.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed Yes | 21c | 142.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 136.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…6030backed Yes | 18c | 135.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 124.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 9c | 123$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c85backed Yes | 22c | 118.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 17c | 117.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…3790backed Yes | 15c | 113.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed Yes | 23c | 113$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 11c | 111.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…24aabacked Yes | 16c | 111.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 23c | 109.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed Yes | 15c | 108.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 13c | 107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 14c | 106.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…3536backed Yes | 24c | 105.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…801ebacked Yes | 14c | 103.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…2c4bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 31c | 98.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…8db9backed Yes | 21c | 97.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 78c | 96.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…0634backed Yes | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 12c | 95.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 26c | 94.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…f7ddbacked Yes | 14c | 93.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 72c | 92.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 92.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…df13backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…f468backed Yes | 27c | 88.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…dbffbacked Yes | 18c | 85.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed No | 77c | 83.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked Yes | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…54adbacked Yes | 31c | 82.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 78c | 77.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 30c | 76.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 75c | 74.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…9a89backed Yes | 16c | 69.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 77c | 69.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 31c | 63.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed No | 71c | 63.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 75c | 62.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…32a3backed Yes | 20c | 61.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…a9debacked Yes | 19c | 61.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 22c | 59.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed Yes | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 19c | 55.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…72debacked Yes | 23c | 54.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…7b83backed Yes | 28c | 53.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…7d74backed Yes | 19c | 52.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…506bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked Yes | 23c | 49.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.