TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Pelicans, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,186,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,054,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,186,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans8c80,798$6,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,556.0396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Pelicans11c78,304$8,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,613.46654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Pelicans9c55,500$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99510930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans10c54,822$5,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,581.112,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans6c41,839$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.281,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Pelicans9c29,252$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.653151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans10c25,662$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.162,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4297…ea39backed Pelicans9c23,394$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.841421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans2c17,569$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.451,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans1c16,983$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Pelicans1c15,467$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans8c15,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pelicans1c14,709$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0914434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Pelicans9c14,500$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3053151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e0…f075backed Pelicans3c13,300$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.611421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans10c13,111$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.0847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pelicans2c12,258$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2665218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans9c12,100$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0891,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans1c12,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans10c11,295$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pelicans4c11,000$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.5226637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans1c10,689$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.711,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans1c10,492$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.537211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans8c8,707$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.592,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Pelicans9c6,666$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9435447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Pelicans9c6,656$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.047957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Pelicans8c6,556$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c8…5c16backed Pelicans2c6,329$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.952729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Pelicans3c6,144$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.694617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans9c6,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pelicans6c5,574$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.341,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…af58backed Pelicans6c5,357$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005328.3%15 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+15%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pelicans3c5,300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pelicans10c5,158$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.799851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pelicans10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6f…2e89backed Pelicans1c5,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-56.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans1c4,773$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.151,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Pelicans11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pelicans2c3,913$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.044573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans6c3,661$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans0c3,472$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.577502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8324…7470backed Pelicans3c3,416$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Pelicans11c3,352$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7727840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb66…d461backed Pelicans9c3,300$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c5…7e8bbacked Pelicans11c3,089$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans3c3,017$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9867911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8425…be0abacked Pelicans2c2,944$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.461010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba6…e199backed Pelicans10c2,806$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.011040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Pelicans4c2,700$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9750338.4%193 W · 310 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Pelicans10c2,600$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2d…74ccbacked Pelicans6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pelicans9c2,416$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.422,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Pelicans1c2,300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.26648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Pelicans7c2,222$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5416045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Pelicans10c2,100$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21018239%71 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe34…e166backed Pelicans7c2,068$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15552137.2%194 W · 327 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pelicans10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20062347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Pelicans3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015838.6%61 W · 97 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f83…7252backed Pelicans3c1,997$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.482910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Pelicans2c1,945$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans9c1,875$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pelicans10c1,810$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0730249.3%149 W · 153 L+33.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Pelicans11c1,800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Pelicans1c1,756$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans4c1,710$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.52,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Pelicans9c1,556$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Pelicans9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13517931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0835…7ac0backed Pelicans9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Pelicans9c1,495$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.586636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0a…1506backed Pelicans10c1,480$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pelicans11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Pelicans9c1,300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans5c1,251$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Pelicans4c1,227$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9733235.5%118 W · 214 L-27.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Pelicans9c1,208$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.715848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Pelicans10c1,187$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x096f…5c68backed Pelicans9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026046.9%122 W · 138 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0424…95ddbacked Pelicans9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Pelicans9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Pelicans1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11634.8%3 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans10c1,078$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.293,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans12c1,057$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.253,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf571…3a5dbacked Pelicans10c1,042$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2517345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0480…0a91backed Pelicans9c1,020$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.85450%27 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans9c1,008$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.961,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Pelicans8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010030%30 W · 70 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35fe…95f7backed Pelicans2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…eff9backed Pelicans1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Pelicans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006826.5%18 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Pelicans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026546%122 W · 143 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans11c1,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pelicans11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd4…ebc4backed Pelicans8c944$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.065324.5%13 W · 40 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Pelicans11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Pelicans11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Pelicans11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.