NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83a496538eec021e21de4cd1d370c59a6c97399f3787bee69e4b49e91f32c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Over | 50c | 6,632$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 50c | 5,700$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 3,489$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.79 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Under | 50c | 2,826$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.83 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,581$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.47 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,287$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.94 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 1,276$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 51c | 749.02$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 50c | 710.69$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 258.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 149.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5this page
- Pelicans vs. LakersLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.