NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23975dc60b27d91efc932e242cf521f6ac6cee0fab9e751b2b7918626909fdce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Lakers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Pelicans | 53c | 15,353$8,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,215.73 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 14,007$6,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Pelicans | 49c | 10,061$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,131.02 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 48c | 9,530$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.67 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Lakers | 51c | 9,303$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.59 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 48c | 6,041$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.26 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lakers | 47c | 5,168$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.96 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lakers | 50c | 4,181$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.47 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…4843backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,849$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…b6bebacked Pelicans | 53c | 2,642$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 1,064$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pelicans | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Pelicans | 30c | 899.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 49c | 569$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Lakers | 52c | 471.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 50c | 453.54$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 49c | 424$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Pelicans | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Lakers | 52c | 332.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 49c | 287$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 48c | 230.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Lakers | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Pelicans | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Lakers | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Pelicans | 50c | 171.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Lakers | 52c | 163.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 163$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Lakers | 49c | 136.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans | 54c | 124.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8570backed Lakers | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 110.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Pelicans | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Pelicans | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lakers | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Pelicans | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…a1d4backed Pelicans | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Lakers | 52c | 57.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…09c2backed Pelicans | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…e5dabacked Pelicans | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…7677backed Pelicans | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Pelicans | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Lakers | 52c | 43.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Pelicans | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Pelicans | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Lakers | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Lakers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Pelicans | 66c | 37.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Lakers | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Lakers | 49c | 36.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Lakers | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Pelicans | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Pelicans | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pelicans | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…2e09backed Pelicans | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Lakers | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Pelicans | 52c | 22.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 49c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Pelicans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Lakers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. LakersLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.