NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cdc7e7aec2834a301e1f19881d3584a620e259406bc6723b3c5da34d79cfdef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Over | 51c | 7,700$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.03 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 5,148$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.05 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…bce1backed Over | 51c | 3,800$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…c39bbacked Under | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Over | 43c | 2,019$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.04 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,007$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,592$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 50c | 842$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 50c | 577.12$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.79 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Under | 62c | 412$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 401.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…59d0backed Over | 51c | 390.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 38c | 375.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.02 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 345.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 273.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 52c | 220.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa3…4b01backed Under | 53c | 194$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 42c | 168$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Under | 50c | 141.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 47c | 107.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…6fa7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 48c | 99.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 96.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Under | 59c | 61.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…1141backed Over | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…abd8backed Over | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…f320backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…e814backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…946dbacked Over | 48c | 29.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd911…93eabacked Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5this page
- Pelicans vs. LakersLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.