TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x748f…59d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$243.9
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.62
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$202
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+95.3%+$190.51
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+244.8%+$732.03
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+105.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.27
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.97
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$58.11
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$306.33
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.63
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$321.12
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$89.61
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$116.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+105.4%+$737.62
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$199.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.1%+$255.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+71%+$404.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$110.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.