NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d65f75e1336b9add9d04414bbc5e5b36a0eaf425d45e8af916d394746fdb01a

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,115 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under	50c	18,834$9,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,371.32	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Over	49c	11,760$5,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,762.4	205	42.9%88 W · 117 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	7,424$3,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,582.72	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92db…4fabbacked Over	51c	7,300$3,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,723	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4db…309dbacked Under	49c	7,300$3,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,723	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under	57c	6,017$3,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,587.4	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	61c	5,672$3,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,211.89	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	47c	2,986$1,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,418.24	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Under	50c	2,853$1,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,426.27	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over	51c	1,473$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	38c	1,076$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.43	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Under	51c	917.02$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.84	250	16.8%42 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	61c	850.94$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.9	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Over	50c	850$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Over	45c	770.64$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.79	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x748f…59d0backed Over	49c	652.61$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over	50c	628$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.12	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	49c	624$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.36	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce1…565dbacked Over	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	50c	595$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.55	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Under	51c	588.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.24	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	51c	584.62$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	562$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.81	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	48c	550$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	250	39.6%99 W · 151 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	49c	499.98$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.99	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under	52c	425.7$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.79	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	48c	422$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.56	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	45c	392$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.4	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under	58c	360.84$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.43	175	51.4%90 W · 85 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	43c	350$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…4741backed Under	57c	350$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.5	60	65%39 W · 21 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd509…b06abacked Over	44c	350$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Over	43c	302.47$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.66	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	44c	300$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Under	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3685…0123backed Under	60c	216.44$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.6	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	49c	201.71$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.21	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	48c	201$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.39	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	43c	200$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Under	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e08…3d14backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	50c	185$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c37…6bc0backed Over	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-51%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Under	60c	127.92$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.21	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over	39c	102.58$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.31	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.2	166	69.9%116 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	60c	82$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.8	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	43c	80.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc4…118ebacked Under	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Over	50c	79.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	150	56%84 W · 66 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Over	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	102	57.8%59 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa26…c10abacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Over	52c	56.77$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.27	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dd…9889backed Over	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	353	52.4%185 W · 168 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f9…15eebacked Under	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over	54c	45.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051a…54c6backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over	52c	42.31$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under	50c	40.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over	52c	40.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	139	38.8%54 W · 85 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Over	47c	38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-6.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1231…786cbacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under	50c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…dcd6backed Over	44c	26.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	97	55.7%54 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Over	57c	22.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event