NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2348d2b486536ba35c6d7d5ce7e4d18a959321f89dc74aeb7c2a9d3a4814693

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,006 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe653…c4a7backed Under	50c	5,763$2,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,881.35	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	4,977$2,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,393.74	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over	50c	2,920$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,459.85	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over	52c	2,206$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.65	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over	52c	776.92$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.92	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over	51c	656.86$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.86	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	50c	629$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.5	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60c…3bf9backed Over	52c	259.75$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.68	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	62cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Over	52c	140$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…4c7abacked Over	52c	136.54$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.54	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	52c	120$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over	55c	120$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa329…b651backed Over	52c	88.92$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.68	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Over	52c	63.08$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.28	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	49c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5d…b99abacked Over	43c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	482	55%265 W · 217 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	52c	25.87$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	415	56.9%236 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event