NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d180c796f7cc827f5651946383566cf709048c3b0beaa6806f45f1456de0e6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,038 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe405…bf91backed Under	55c	17,704$9,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,926.2	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	8,320$3,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,641.8	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Under	56c	8,314$4,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,658.29	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Over	47c	5,730$2,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,693.19	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under	54c	5,664$3,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,605.6	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	5,274$2,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,405.41	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	3,097$1,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.44	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	50c	1,362$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.83	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Over	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	53c	875.34$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.52	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc35a…e5d8backed Over	48c	716.19$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.77	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-9.1wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd36…0f01backed Over	78c	637.47$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.23	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	51c	588$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.88	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Under	77c	513$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.55	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+64%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over	46c	450$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	272	47.8%130 W · 142 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	54c	330$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.8	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over	53c	248.51$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.71	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over	46c	241.51$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.39	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3685…0123backed Under	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under	52c	199.99$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Over	57c	175.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	300	44.3%133 W · 167 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under	47c	159.57$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.57	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Over	44c	138$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-6.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	55c	131.58$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.91	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Over	53c	124.53$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under	47c	122.64$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Over	53c	122.64$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	204	44.6%91 W · 113 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Over	45c	121.58$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.71	185	58.4%108 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Over	44c	121$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.79	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	49c	109.44$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.06	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Over	48c	109.15$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.91	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	44c	99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.56	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over	43c	98.84$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Over	53c	90.4$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.91	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Under	46c	75$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.25	166	69.9%116 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…7b15backed Over	78c	64.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Under	55c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	52c	58.9$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.27	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over	56c	53.66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	173	50.9%88 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a9f…c209backed Over	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5d…b99abacked Over	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf581…0892backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	225	56.9%128 W · 97 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x548f…43b6backed Under	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…4c7abacked Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Over	53c	22.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cff…d9fdbacked Over	54c	20.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0a…d9ffbacked Over	54c	20.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Over	55c	20.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0af3backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	27	63%17 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	482	55%265 W · 217 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event