NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd7402dd6c15321e2d5cadd57626af287e546ba60ae89dd3412acf29b8be2523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,587$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 5,693$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.71 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 50c | 4,057$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.29 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 1,224$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 50c | 1,201$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.5 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5this page
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. LakersSuns won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.