Poker · resolved market
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fc8d41e04509d86ab8bdac4f5c1ec94832b54e613a457e98132d186ed01b3b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 48c | 8,128$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 77c | 3,793$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 43c | 2,155$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 63c | 1,171$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 20c | 1,014$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +406.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…6d37backed Yes | 35c | 851.74$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 6c | 776.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 34c | 738.17$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 78c | 734.39$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 80c | 620$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…2272backed Yes | 33c | 599.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 23c | 523$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Yes | 60c | 520.11$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 80c | 428.6$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 77c | 417$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…64b8backed Yes | 43c | 415.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 49c | 336.29$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 31c | 315.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…638abacked Yes | 19c | 302.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +424.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 18c | 295.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c93abacked Yes | 18c | 285.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +298.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…c10dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Yes | 18c | 249.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Yes | 45c | 239.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…eab3backed No | 68c | 236.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +325%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…59d0backed Yes | 51c | 229.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e564backed No | 63c | 220$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 50c | 213$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 17c | 204$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…6a7cbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…7631backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…415ebacked No | 69c | 184$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a9…6670backed Yes | 19c | 183.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed Yes | 31c | 178$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d31…5a0abacked Yes | 58c | 171.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 80c | 170$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…6531backed No | 63c | 158.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 24c | 152$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…d7b8backed Yes | 41c | 139.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…8ee9backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +254.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…961abacked No | 44c | 129.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed No | 68c | 127$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed No | 76c | 121$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 69c | 113.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 19c | 101.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +433.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…578dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +127%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…fa89backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…7165backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…013cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…4777backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 99.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed Yes | 24c | 96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 77c | 93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…8f14backed Yes | 22c | 89.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked No | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 52c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…18eabacked Yes | 41c | 65.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed No | 79c | 61.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8ad4backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…fc5cbacked Yes | 45c | 54.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed Yes | 47c | 54.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3be…94e4backed Yes | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…5c5bbacked Yes | 54c | 51.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfb…c415backed Yes | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…0585backed Yes | 57c | 42.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 80c | 41.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…75dabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…fe53backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 27.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…657fbacked Yes | 66c | 25.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 54c | 25.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 77c | 19.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?this page
- Will Brandon Steven be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No won
- Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No won
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Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.