TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29dc…75da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+204%+$26.51
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.79
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.15
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.77
LeBron 10+ point streak broken this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$83.34
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$14.89
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+83.6%+$16.73
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$29.4
Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+566.7%+$85
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Broncos (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+54.4%+$13.6
Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+73.4%+$40.2
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+83.2%+$38.74
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.2%+$24.64
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$12.92
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+170.3%+$25.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+525%+$52.5
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+52.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+205%+$92.26
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+89.8%+$13.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 19 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.